Attached is an update to the predicted displacements using the new magnitude of 7.8.

== SHAKEOUT SCENARIO FINAL EARTHQUAKE REPORT == California Integrated Seismic Network http://www.cisn.org USGS/Caltech/CGS/UCB/UCSD/UNR Version 3: This report supersedes any earlier reports about this event. This is a computer-generated message that has been reviewed by a seismologist. PRINCIPAL EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS UPDATE ______________________________ _ Magnitude : 7.8 Mw Time : 13 November 2008 10:00:00 AM PDT : 13 November 2008 18:00:00 UTC Coordinates : 33 deg. 25.2 min. N, 115 deg. 50.4 min. W Depth : 6.3 miles ( 10 km) Location Quality : Excellent 1 mi. Bombay Beach, CA 6 mi. Coachella Valley, CA More Information about this SCENARIO event and other earthquakes is available at http://earthquake.usgs.gov/eqcenter/eqinthenews/2008/shakeout/ ADDITIONAL EARTHQUAKE PARAMETERS ________________________________ rms misfit : 0.47 seconds horizontal location error : 0.3 km vertical location error : 0.6 km maximum azimuthal gap : 28 degrees distance to nearest station : 6.0 km event ID : 999 SOURCE OF INFORMATION/CONTACTS ________________________________ CISN Southern California Management Center Caltech Seismological Laboratory U.S. Geological Survey http://www.cisn.org/scmc.html ________________________________ _______________________________________________ Duty mailing list Duty@scsnmail.gps.caltech.edu http://unix1.gps.caltech.edu/mailman/listinfo/duty

A major earthquake has occurred, all indications are that it is on the Southern San Adreas Fault. No name as yet; stay tuned. Origin Date: 2008-Nov-13 Origin Time: 10:00 PST Magnitude: Mw 7.8 (NEIC) Latitude: 33.345 deg Longitude: -115.707 deg Due to the magnitude very strong shaking and substantial damage is likely throughout the greater southern California region, especially in large population centers such as the Metropolitan Los Angeles region, San Bernardion and Palm Springs. Significant damage is likely south of the U.S.-Mexico border in Mexicali. Rupture likely from Bombay Beach near the Salton Sea to Palmdale CA. Moment Tensor is consistent with strike-slip on the San Andreas Fault.

I would like to hold a conference call at 11:15, to touch base with those of you who are responding and are available, about coordinating the scenario response. Please call the dedicated dial-in number: 1-218-936-7979 Access code: 565853. Thanks, Greg

As I noted on a separate thread. I have been unable to reach either Jamie Steidl or Ralph Archuleta about the SCEC PBIC instruments. I'll keep trying though.

A crew of five people from the USGS Menlo Park will be departing shortly for southern California to begin reoccupying GPS sites located in that region. We will target sites closest to the rupture that have a history of observations and fill gaps in continuous GPS coverage.

Spoke with Mike Oskin via both cell pohone (working fine) and sat phone. We are organizing our field gear and plan to begin driving ou to the epicentral area to check offsets along the Coacheela segment of SAF (apparently the source). Will check in with USGS personnel in 20-30 minutes as soon as we're ready to roll. I will phone in preliminary observations as soon as we can get out there... James

Here's the NSF response from Robin Reichlin: Tom, Kaye is in panel, but I am writing to say you are authorized to use committed funds to mount an immediate field response. When the dust settles, we can discuss targeted funds through the SGER mechanism. We can agree by phone or email to commit resources, and PIs can follow up later with supplement or SGER requests using the 90-day pre-spending process. Good luck, and keep us posted. Robin Robin Reichlin Program Director, Geophysics National Science Foundation 4201 Wilson Blvd. Arlington, VA 22230 703-292-4741

Attached are the simulated total displacement waveform data from the California Real Time Network (CRTN) for the ShakeOut test. -- Yehuda

Here are predicted GPS displacements at all southern California GPS stations.

All of the spaces in the original ascii representation of the focal mechanism were eliminated and it got left justified. That's why it looks bizarre, but it is indeed strike-slip, consistent with it being right-lateral and on the San Andreas Fault.